Loans to investors in June

Housing finance rebounded in June, recovering from its historic drop in May. This could signal a resumption of activity for buyers and investors, experts say.

The value of home loans rose 6.2% in June on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).

The investor segment experienced higher growth in home loan commitments at 8.1% than the gain of 5.5% in the owner-occupied segment. First-time homebuyers' financing commitments also improved, up 3.3%.

"Despite the rebound in lending activity, the value of home loan liabilities in June fell more than 10% from March after sharp declines in April and May," said Bruce Hockman, Chief Economist at ABS.

Hockman said the rise in mortgage liabilities during the month reflected the easing of COVID-19 restrictions and the resumption of operations in the real estate sales market.

Adrian Kelly, president of the Real Estate Institute of Australia, said New South Wales accounted for much of the rise in investor lending, while all states except Victoria and ACT, were contributing to the growth of the owner-occupied segment.

"The pickup in lending is not unexpected, with restrictions on movement easing throughout the month. As the lending roller coaster continues, low levels of supply will support the market." , he said.

Maree Kilroy, economist for BIS Oxford Economics, said the fourth stage lockdown in Victoria would be a drag on growth in housing liabilities in the coming weeks.

"With Melbourne representing Australia & # 39; s largest new housing market, the blow to national demand for new housing will be significant," she said. "The impact is expected to be mostly temporary, with the expected easing of foreclosure restrictions, combined with stimulus measures including very low interest rates and the HomeBuilder program boosting demand for new homes . "

Geordan Murray, senior economist for the Housing Industry Association (HIA), said the latest ABS figures had yet to show any evidence. Material impact of the HomeBuilder program announcement.

In fact, the 9.7% growth in financing commitments for existing housing has not been replicated in loans for new housing construction.

"Construction loan numbers do not yet reflect the recovery in demand for new homes that has occurred since the HomeBuilder program was announced. In June, the number of home loans construction actually fell to the lowest monthly level since 2012, "Murray says.

However, Murray raised concerns about the growing size of the available land blocks. He said loans for the purchase of land increased 33.8% in June.

"The surge in land purchase loans highlights the risk that the availability of residential lots where on-site work can begin within the timeframe provided by the HomeBuilder program could limit participation in the program", did he declare.

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